SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 26.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Vegalta Sendai win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Vegalta Sendai |
| 46.26% | 27.5% | 26.24% |
| Both teams to score 45.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.83% | 59.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.4% | 79.6% |
| Nagoya Grampus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.41% | 25.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.53% | 60.47% |
| Vegalta Sendai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.46% | 38.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.71% | 75.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Vegalta Sendai |
| 1-0 @ 13.44% 2-0 @ 9.16% 2-1 @ 8.73% 3-0 @ 4.16% 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.42% 4-1 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.13% Total : 46.26% | 1-1 @ 12.81% 0-0 @ 9.86% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 9.4% 1-2 @ 6.11% 0-2 @ 4.48% 1-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.43% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.56% Total : 26.24% |
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