Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pakhtakor Tashkent win with a probability of 48.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Shahr Khodro had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Shahr Khodro win it was 1-0 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Pakhtakor Tashkent in this match.