Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Port had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.71%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Port win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.