Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.