Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Luneng Taishan win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Henan Jianye had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Luneng Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Henan Jianye win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.