Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nagoya Grampus would win this match.