Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Shandong Taishan had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.
