Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.76%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (11.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.
