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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2020 at 1pm UK
Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium

Ulsan
3 - 1
Sh. Shenhua

Yoon (19', 41'), Ki-hee (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Jianrong (89')
Jiang (22'), Wen (45')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Ulsan Hyundai and Shanghai Shenhua.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ulsan Hyundai win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Shanghai Shenhua had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ulsan Hyundai win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ulsan Hyundai would win this match.

Result
Ulsan HyundaiDrawShanghai Shenhua
36.2%28.23%35.56%
Both teams to score 47.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.89%59.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.45%79.56%
Ulsan Hyundai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83%31.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.5%67.5%
Shanghai Shenhua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.43%31.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.03%67.98%
Score Analysis
    Ulsan Hyundai 36.2%
    Shanghai Shenhua 35.56%
    Draw 28.23%
Ulsan HyundaiDrawShanghai Shenhua
1-0 @ 11.47%
2-1 @ 7.71%
2-0 @ 6.69%
3-1 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.6%
3-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 36.2%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 9.84%
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.23%
0-1 @ 11.34%
1-2 @ 7.62%
0-2 @ 6.54%
1-3 @ 2.93%
0-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.56%


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