Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Chongqing Dangdai Lifan had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Chongqing Dangdai Lifan win was 0-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.