SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Hebei China Fortune had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Hebei China Fortune win was 1-0 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shanghai Shenhua in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hebei | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 31.07% | 25.24% | 43.68% |
| Both teams to score 55.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.95% | 48.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.78% | 70.22% |
| Hebei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.02% | 28.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.12% | 64.87% |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.03% | 21.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.73% | 55.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hebei | Draw | Shanghai Shenhua |
| 1-0 @ 7.89% 2-1 @ 7.4% 2-0 @ 4.88% 3-1 @ 3.06% 3-2 @ 2.32% 3-0 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.57% Total : 31.07% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.37% 2-2 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 9.65% 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-2 @ 7.31% 1-3 @ 4.57% 0-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 2.83% 1-4 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.4% 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.68% |
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