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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 6, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecote
GN

Congo DR
1 - 0
Guinea

Kayembe (27')
Masuaku (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

M (61'), Masuaku (76'), Diakite (88')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Congo DR 1-0 Togo
Sunday, June 9 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
Last Game: Guinea 0-1 Mozambique
Monday, June 10 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Congo DR 2-1 Guinea

Guinea head into Friday's clash on a positive run of results, but their record against Congo DR does not make for good reading. We are anticipating an open and end-to-end affair with the home side narrowly seeing off their visitors to claim all three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 48.45%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Guinea had a probability of 23.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Guinea win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Congo DR in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Congo DR.

Result
Congo DRDrawGuinea
48.45% (-0.189 -0.19) 28.46% (0.063000000000002 0.06) 23.09% (0.126 0.13)
Both teams to score 40.73% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.83% (-0.102 -0.1)64.17% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.69% (-0.073 -0.07)83.31% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Congo DR Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (-0.142 -0.14)26.82% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.89% (-0.186 -0.19)62.11% (0.186 0.19)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.65% (0.065999999999995 0.07)44.34% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.59% (0.054000000000002 0.05)80.4% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Congo DR 48.44%
    Guinea 23.09%
    Draw 28.45%
Congo DRDrawGuinea
1-0 @ 15.65%
2-0 @ 10.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.52% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 48.44%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.89% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 28.45%
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.18% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.93% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 23.09%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Congo DR 1-0 Togo
Sunday, June 9 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Senegal 1-1 Congo DR
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: South Africa 0-0 Congo DR (6-5 pen.)
Saturday, February 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-0 Congo DR
Wednesday, February 7 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Congo DR 3-1 Guinea
Friday, February 2 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Egypt 1-1 Congo DR (7-8 pen.)
Sunday, January 28 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Guinea 0-1 Mozambique
Monday, June 10 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Algeria 1-2 Guinea
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Guinea 5-1 Bermuda
Monday, March 25 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Guinea 6-0 Vanuatu
Thursday, March 21 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Congo DR 3-1 Guinea
Friday, February 2 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Eq Guinea 0-1 Guinea
Sunday, January 28 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations


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