SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Gambia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 15.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.37%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Senegal | Draw | Congo DR |
59.28% ( -0.75) | 25.36% ( 0.42) | 15.36% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 37.48% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.64% ( -0.82) | 62.36% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18% ( -0.6) | 82% ( 0.61) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.8% ( -0.63) | 21.2% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.92% ( -0.99) | 54.08% ( 0.99) |
| Congo DR Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.56% ( -0.01) | 52.44% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.71% ( -0.01) | 86.29% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Senegal | Draw | Congo DR |
| 1-0 @ 17.24% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 13.37% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.79% Total : 59.27% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.33% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.28% Total : 15.36% |
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