Having played 120 minutes in consecutive games, South Africa running out of gas could be exploited by DR Congo to claim third in the continental showpiece.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 44.93%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 25.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.12%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
