SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Angola | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 | Cameroon | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 64.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 11.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.51%) and 3-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.98%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Congo | Draw | South Sudan |
64.41% ( 0.02) | 24.11% ( 0) | 11.48% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 32.08% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.6% ( -0.03) | 64.39% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.53% ( -0.03) | 83.46% ( 0.02) |
| Congo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.98% ( -0.01) | 20.02% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.78% ( -0.01) | 52.22% ( 0.01) |
| South Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.1% ( -0.05) | 59.89% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 9.4% ( -0.03) | 90.59% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Congo | Draw | South Sudan |
| 1-0 @ 19.28% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 15.51% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.35% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.09% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.85% Total : 64.4% | 0-0 @ 11.98% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 6.15% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 1.23% Total : 11.48% |
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