SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Angola | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 | Cameroon | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Gambia win was 0-1 (11.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Congo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Congo | Draw | Gambia |
36.61% ( 0.19) | 28.47% ( 0.02) | 34.92% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 46.39% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.02% ( -0.1) | 59.97% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.78% ( -0.08) | 80.22% ( 0.08) |
| Congo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.65% ( 0.07) | 31.35% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.29% ( 0.08) | 67.71% ( -0.09) |
| Gambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.57% ( -0.2) | 32.43% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.05% ( -0.23) | 68.95% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Congo | Draw | Gambia |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 36.61% | 1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.46% | 0-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.91% |
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