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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 9, 2022 at 2pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
MN

South Sudan
1 - 3
Mali

Kouyate (29' og.)
Yuel (28'), Elly Lokosang Christopher (30'), John Mayik (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Camara (59'), Koita (90+3'), Dieng (90+5')
Kone (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: South Sudan 1-3 Mali
Thursday, June 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Congo vs. South Sudan
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Six:
Last Game: South Sudan 1-3 Mali
Thursday, June 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Ecuador vs. Mali
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

We said: South Sudan 1-3 Mali

Off the back of a resounding victory last time out, Mali will head into this one full of confidence. The away side also boast a significantly better squad than their hosts, and we are backing them to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mali win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for South Sudan had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest South Sudan win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Mali in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mali.

Result
South SudanDrawMali
27.38% (0.012 0.01) 25.09% (0.0040000000000013 0) 47.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)49.34% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)71.39% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
South Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.7% (0.007000000000005 0.01)32.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.2% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)68.8% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)20.78% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.56% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)53.44% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    South Sudan 27.38%
    Mali 47.52%
    Draw 25.08%
South SudanDrawMali
1-0 @ 7.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 6.74% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 4.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 27.38%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.28% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 47.52%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gambia 1-0 South Sudan
Saturday, June 4 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Kenya 1-0 South Sudan
Saturday, March 13 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Cameroon 0-0 South Sudan
Tuesday, October 13 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mali 4-0 Congo
Saturday, June 4 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Tunisia 0-0 Mali
Tuesday, March 29 at 8.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Mali 0-1 Tunisia
Friday, March 25 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Mali 0-0 Eq Guinea (5-6 pen.)
Wednesday, January 26 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Mali 2-0 Mauritania
Thursday, January 20 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Gambia 1-1 Mali
Sunday, January 16 at 1pm in Africa Cup of Nations


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