SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 17.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.56%) and 1-2 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.65%), while for a Sudan win it was 1-0 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sudan | Draw | Angola |
17.41% ( -0) | 27.4% ( -0.11) | 55.18% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 36.44% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.15% ( 0.29) | 65.84% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.52% ( 0.2) | 84.48% ( -0.2) |
| Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.22% ( 0.18) | 51.78% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.14% ( 0.12) | 85.86% ( -0.11) |
| Angola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.57% ( 0.18) | 24.43% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.13% ( 0.25) | 58.86% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sudan | Draw | Angola |
| 1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.74% Other @ 2.48% Total : 17.41% | 0-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.13) 1-1 @ 11.73% 2-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.3% Total : 27.4% | 0-1 @ 17.82% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 12.56% 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 5.9% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 55.17% |
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