SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Mali | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Niger | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Niger had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Niger win was 1-0 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Niger | Draw | Sudan |
34.04% ( -0.06) | 29.16% ( -0.02) | 36.79% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 44.35% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.56% ( 0.06) | 62.43% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.94% ( 0.05) | 82.05% ( -0.05) |
| Niger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.69% ( -0.01) | 34.31% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.99% ( -0.01) | 71.01% ( 0) |
| Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% ( 0.08) | 32.49% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.98% ( 0.09) | 69.01% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Niger | Draw | Sudan |
| 1-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 34.04% | 1-1 @ 13.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.14% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.15% | 0-1 @ 12.53% 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 36.79% |
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