SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ghana | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Mali | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Niger | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Niger had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.09%) and 1-2 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.67%), while for a Niger win it was 1-0 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 18.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Angola in this match.
| Result | ||
| Niger | Draw | Angola |
18.49% ( -0.08) | 28.57% ( -0.05) | 52.94% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 35.52% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.05% ( 0.06) | 67.95% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.1% ( 0.04) | 85.9% ( -0.04) |
| Niger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.28% ( -0.06) | 51.71% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.18% ( -0.04) | 85.82% ( 0.04) |
| Angola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.56% ( 0.09) | 26.44% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.38% ( 0.12) | 61.61% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Niger | Draw | Angola |
| 1-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.55% Total : 18.49% | 0-0 @ 13.67% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.63% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 28.56% | 0-1 @ 18.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 12.09% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.37% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 1.64% Total : 52.93% |
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