SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AIK Fotboll | Draw | Elfsborg |
40.51% ( -3.14) | 26.55% ( 0.55) | 32.93% ( 2.59) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.05% ( -1.42) | 52.95% ( 1.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.45% ( -1.22) | 74.55% ( 1.22) |
| AIK Fotboll Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( -2.23) | 25.7% ( 2.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.37% ( -3.12) | 60.62% ( 3.12) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.81% ( 1.05) | 30.19% ( -1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.65% ( 1.24) | 66.34% ( -1.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| AIK Fotboll | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.38)2-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.54)3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.44)3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.48)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.25)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.25)Other @ 2.36% Total : 40.51% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.76) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.37)0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.6)1-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.3)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.32% Total : 32.93% |
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