SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for Djurgardens IF had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Djurgardens IF win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
51.85% ( 0.23) | 23.44% ( -0.04) | 24.71% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 56.56% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.68% ( 0.03) | 44.32% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.31% ( 0.03) | 66.69% ( -0.03) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.88% ( 0.1) | 17.12% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.67% ( 0.17) | 47.33% ( -0.16) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.24% ( -0.13) | 31.76% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.81% ( -0.16) | 68.19% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 3.93% Total : 51.85% | 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 24.71% |
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