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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 7
May 7, 2023 at 2pm UK
Swedbank Stadion

Malmo
3 - 1
AIK

Vecchia (10'), Nanasi (15'), Christiansen (40')
Busanello (36')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Faraj (8' pen.)
Bjornstrom (10'), Milosevic (22'), Faraj (36'), Keita (45+2'), Fesshaie (90+3')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and AIK Fotboll.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Varbergs 0-6 Malmo
Thursday, May 4 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 0-0 AIK
Wednesday, May 3 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 59.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for AIK Fotboll had a probability of 18.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for an AIK Fotboll win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawAIK Fotboll
59.37% (-0.329 -0.33) 22.05% (0.302 0.3) 18.58% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.32% (-0.932 -0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.29% (-1.265 -1.27)45.71% (1.266 1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.97% (-1.215 -1.22)68.03% (1.214 1.21)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.98% (-0.52499999999999 -0.52)15.02% (0.524 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.5% (-1.006 -1.01)43.5% (1.007 1.01)
AIK Fotboll Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.57% (-0.711 -0.71)38.43% (0.711 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.82% (-0.688 -0.69)75.18% (0.68700000000001 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 59.36%
    AIK Fotboll 18.58%
    Draw 22.05%
MalmoDrawAIK Fotboll
1-0 @ 10.94% (0.39 0.39)
2-0 @ 10.37% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-0 @ 3.11% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.086 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 59.36%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 5.77% (0.305 0.31)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.05%
0-1 @ 5.52% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 5.01% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.64% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 18.58%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Varbergs 0-6 Malmo
Thursday, May 4 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 4-2 Hammarby
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 3-0 Norrkoping
Monday, April 24 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Goteborg 0-1 Malmo
Monday, April 17 at 6.10pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Brommapojkarna 1-2 Malmo
Saturday, April 8 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 1-0 Kalmar
Saturday, April 1 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 0-0 AIK
Wednesday, May 3 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: AIK 0-0 Sirius
Saturday, April 29 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Varnamo 1-0 AIK
Monday, April 24 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: AIK 2-0 Hammarby
Sunday, April 16 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: AIK 0-3 Norrkoping
Monday, April 10 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Halmstad 2-1 AIK
Sunday, April 2 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan


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