Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.88%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.