SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 50.86%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Degerfors | Draw | Hammarby |
| 25.9% | 23.24% | 50.86% |
| Both teams to score 58.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.68% | 42.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.27% | 64.73% |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.25% | 29.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.19% | 65.81% |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.26% | 16.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.34% | 46.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Degerfors | Draw | Hammarby |
| 2-1 @ 6.54% 1-0 @ 6.04% 2-0 @ 3.66% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.18% Total : 25.9% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.23% | 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-1 @ 8.9% 0-2 @ 7.95% 1-3 @ 5.75% 0-3 @ 4.74% 2-3 @ 3.48% 1-4 @ 2.57% 0-4 @ 2.12% 2-4 @ 1.56% 1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.24% Total : 50.86% |
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