Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 40.08%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.