SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Kalmar |
51.33% ( 0.21) | 23.81% ( 0.08) | 24.86% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 55.49% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.2% ( -0.63) | 45.8% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.88% ( -0.6) | 68.11% ( 0.6) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.13% ( -0.16) | 17.86% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.37% ( -0.27) | 48.63% ( 0.27) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.56% ( -0.58) | 32.43% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.04% ( -0.66) | 68.95% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Djurgardens IF | Draw | Kalmar |
| 1-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.6% Total : 51.33% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.8% | 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.54% Total : 24.86% |
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