SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Djurgardens IF had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Djurgardens IF win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hacken | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
49.32% ( 1.05) | 23.62% ( 0.07) | 27.06% ( -1.11) |
| Both teams to score 58.24% ( -1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.86% ( -1.12) | 43.14% ( 1.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.46% ( -1.11) | 65.54% ( 1.12) |
| Hacken Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.38% ( -0.02) | 17.62% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.79% ( -0.05) | 48.21% ( 0.05) |
| Djurgardens IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.7% ( -1.38) | 29.3% ( 1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.74% ( -1.73) | 65.27% ( 1.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hacken | Draw | Djurgardens IF |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.43)2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.5% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.78% Total : 49.32% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.32% Total : 27.06% |
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