Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a IFK Goteborg win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Elfsborg in this match.