Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Malmo in this match.
