Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 55.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Degerfors had a probability of 21.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Degerfors win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
