Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
