Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
