Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Mjallby AIF had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.52%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Mjallby AIF win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.