Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
