Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 52.71%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.78%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 2-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.