Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 25.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.