SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | Elfsborg |
37.91% ( -0.58) | 26% ( 0.06) | 36.09% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 54.19% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.79% ( -0.24) | 50.21% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.83% ( -0.21) | 72.17% ( 0.21) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.14% ( -0.43) | 25.86% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.16% ( -0.59) | 60.84% ( 0.58) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.1% ( 0.19) | 26.9% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.78% ( 0.24) | 62.22% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 1-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.91% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.1% Total : 36.09% |
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