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M
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 2
Apr 7, 2024 at 1pm UK
Swedbank Stadion
H

Malmo
2 - 0
Hammarby

Kiese Thelin (34', 48')
Berg Johnsen (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kurtulus (43'), Erabi (65')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Hammarby.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norrkoping 1-5 Malmo
Saturday, March 30 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Hammarby 3-1 Kalmar
Sunday, March 31 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 60.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Hammarby had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a Hammarby win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
MalmoDrawHammarby
60.36% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 21.57% (0.323 0.32) 18.07% (-0.293 -0.29)
Both teams to score 52.95% (-1.647 -1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.59% (-1.912 -1.91)44.41% (1.918 1.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.22% (-1.881 -1.88)66.78% (1.885 1.89)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.73% (-0.626 -0.63)14.27% (0.63 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.94% (-1.238 -1.24)42.06% (1.243 1.24)
Hammarby Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.77% (-1.456 -1.46)38.23% (1.462 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.01% (-1.432 -1.43)74.99% (1.437 1.44)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 60.35%
    Hammarby 18.07%
    Draw 21.57%
MalmoDrawHammarby
1-0 @ 10.62% (0.627 0.63)
2-0 @ 10.34% (0.388 0.39)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.71% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-0 @ 3.27% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.205 -0.21)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.137 -0.14)
5-0 @ 1.27% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 60.35%
1-1 @ 10.21% (0.212 0.21)
0-0 @ 5.46% (0.44 0.44)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.201 -0.2)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.57%
0-1 @ 5.25% (0.228 0.23)
1-2 @ 4.91% (-0.090000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.52% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 18.07%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Norrkoping 1-5 Malmo
Saturday, March 30 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 1-0 Elfsborg
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Hacken 4-2 Malmo
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Norrkoping 0-1 Malmo
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 5-0 Varbergs
Sunday, October 22 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Kalmar 1-0 Malmo
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Hammarby 3-1 Kalmar
Sunday, March 31 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Hammarby 2-2 Halmstad
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Varnamo 0-0 Hammarby
Saturday, November 4 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Hammarby 2-2 Sirius
Monday, October 30 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Djurgarden 0-0 Hammarby
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Hammarby 2-2 Hacken
Sunday, October 8 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan


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