Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 48.27%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hammarby in this match.
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