Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 25.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-0 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
-0.67) 
0.85) 
