SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | AIK Fotboll | 13 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | Hammarby | 12 | 12 | 21 |
| 6 | Kalmar | 13 | 5 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Kalmar | 13 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Elfsborg | 13 | 11 | 20 |
| 8 | IFK Goteborg | 13 | 1 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 51.65%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 24.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 0-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | Elfsborg |
51.65% ( -0.18) | 23.95% ( -0.02) | 24.4% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.55% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.17% ( 0.3) | 46.82% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.92% ( 0.28) | 69.08% ( -0.28) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.87% ( 0.05) | 18.13% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.91% ( 0.08) | 49.08% ( -0.08) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.62% ( 0.34) | 33.37% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30% ( 0.37) | 70% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.47% Total : 51.65% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.94% | 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.35% Total : 24.4% |
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