Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 50.73%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Norrkoping would win this match.