SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for IFK Goteborg had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest IFK Goteborg win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that IFK Norrkoping would win this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
48.4% ( -1.11) | 25.67% ( -0.28) | 25.93% ( 1.39) |
| Both teams to score 50.66% ( 2.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.34% ( 2.08) | 52.66% ( -2.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.69% ( 1.75) | 74.31% ( -1.75) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.23% ( 0.38) | 21.77% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.03% ( 0.57) | 54.97% ( -0.57) |
| IFK Goteborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.76% ( 2.34) | 35.24% ( -2.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28% ( 2.37) | 72% ( -2.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | IFK Goteborg |
| 1-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.85) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.54)3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.3% Total : 48.39% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.65)2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.32)Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 8% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.25)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.05% Total : 25.93% |
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