SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 65.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 14.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a IFK Norrkoping win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hammarby | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
65.32% ( -0.14) | 19.76% ( 0.06) | 14.92% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.09% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.92% ( -0.08) | 42.08% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.51% ( -0.08) | 64.49% ( 0.08) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.91% ( -0.06) | 12.09% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.36% ( -0.13) | 37.64% ( 0.13) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.25% ( 0.06) | 40.74% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.67% ( 0.06) | 77.33% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hammarby | Draw | IFK Norrkoping |
| 2-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.54% Total : 65.31% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.76% | 0-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 14.92% |
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