SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 62.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Degerfors had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Degerfors win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for IFK Norrkoping in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for IFK Norrkoping.
| Result | ||
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Degerfors |
62.59% ( -1.57) | 21.12% ( 0.74) | 16.29% ( 0.82) |
| Both teams to score 50.78% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.54% ( -1.69) | 45.46% ( 1.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.21% ( -1.64) | 67.79% ( 1.63) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.07% ( -1) | 13.92% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.62% ( -2) | 41.38% ( 2) |
| Degerfors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.99% ( 0.04) | 41.01% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.44% ( 0.04) | 77.56% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Degerfors |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.24)4-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.28)4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.17)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.74% Total : 62.58% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.36) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.11% | 0-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.37) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 16.29% |
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