Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Hammarby had a probability of 20.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Hammarby win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.