Malmo
2 - 1
Kalmar

Kiese Thelin (63', 89')
Ahmedhodzic (3'), Innocent (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Elm (35' pen.)
Rafinha (72')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and Kalmar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 67.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 13.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Kalmar win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
Malmo	Draw	Kalmar
67.45%	19.29%	13.26%

Both teams to score 49.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.36%

43.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.97%

66.03%

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.04%

11.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.64%

37.36%

Kalmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.87%

44.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.77%

80.22%

Score Analysis

Malmo 67.44%

Kalmar 13.26%

Draw 19.29%

Malmo	Draw	Kalmar
2-0 @ 11.9% 1-0 @ 11.2% 2-1 @ 9.74% 3-0 @ 8.42% 3-1 @ 6.89% 4-0 @ 4.47% 4-1 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.82% 5-0 @ 1.9% 5-1 @ 1.55% 4-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.39% Total : 67.44%	1-1 @ 9.17% 0-0 @ 5.28% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.86% Total : 19.29%	0-1 @ 4.32% 1-2 @ 3.75% 0-2 @ 1.77% 2-3 @ 1.09% 1-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.32% Total : 13.26%