Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 74.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Helsingborg had a probability of 9.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.71%) and 3-0 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Helsingborg win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.