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Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 11
Jul 26, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
Studenternas IP
M

Sirius
2 - 5
Malmo

Saeid (18' pen.), Vecchia (56')
Hellborg (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Andersson (51' og.), Toivonen (65'), Kiese Thelin (85'), Inge Berget (90'), Rieks (90+4')
Christiansen (58')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Sirius and Malmo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 65.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Sirius had a probability of 15.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.25%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Sirius win it was 1-0 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
SiriusDrawMalmo
15.07%19.74%65.19%
Both teams to score 52.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.33%41.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.92%64.07%
Sirius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.71%40.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.09%76.91%
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.99%12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.54%37.45%
Score Analysis
    Sirius 15.07%
    Malmo 65.18%
    Draw 19.74%
SiriusDrawMalmo
1-0 @ 4.4%
2-1 @ 4.24%
2-0 @ 2%
3-2 @ 1.36%
3-1 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 15.07%
1-1 @ 9.32%
0-0 @ 4.84%
2-2 @ 4.49%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.74%
0-2 @ 10.86%
0-1 @ 10.25%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-3 @ 7.68%
1-3 @ 6.98%
0-4 @ 4.07%
1-4 @ 3.7%
2-3 @ 3.17%
0-5 @ 1.73%
2-4 @ 1.68%
1-5 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 65.18%


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